Scenario builder

Switch disruptions on and off, or pick a preset. The map and impact panel update instantly. Volumes use 2025 / early-2026 baselines.

Presets

Energy chokepoints

Strait of Hormuz closed~20 Mbpd of oil and ~1/5 of global LNG in 2025.

Bab el-Mandeb closedHouthis now hold the Yemeni coast of the strait.

Suez Canal + SUMED shutRed Sea–Med link for oil, LNG and trade.

Turkish Straits closedRussian and Kazakh (CPC) crude to the Med.

Bypass infrastructure

Saudi East-West pipelineAbqaiq → Yanbu, 7 Mbpd max.
Full (~5 Mbpd exportable)Partial (~40%, 2.8 Mbpd)Down

Fujairah / ADCOP hitUAE's 1.8 Mbpd bypass to the Gulf of Oman.

Data infrastructure

Gulf / Hormuz cables cutFALCON, GBI, TGN-Gulf, AAE-1 branches inside the Gulf.

Red Sea cables cutThe Europe–Asia trunk (SMW4/5, IMEWE, EIG, AAE-1, PEACE).

Egypt land crossing cutWhere most Europe–Asia cables cross from the Red Sea to the Med.